Since the COVID-19 pandemic, the threat of global recession has grown due to central banks' efforts to control inflation. While advanced economies may face recession, India could see relief from falling global commodity prices. However, India's export and investment outlook may be affected by a potential US recession. Despite global uncertainties, India's recession probability remains low, with the economy showing signs of robust recovery. The impact of a US recession on India will depend on its severity, but India's resilient economy and strong domestic policies offer a relatively stable outlook.